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Overview desk · Evening edition · Thursday, August 13, 2026

Cautious risk-on: equities grind higher on in-line inflation despite a 4.68% 10-year

Overview desk · auto-generated · written Aug 12, 2026, 8:20 PM EDT

Prices in this edition were taken live, not from stored closes. They were read at the Evening edition slot on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Anything named as a cause may come from a headline the desk was given.

Fundamental
  • July CPI at 3.4% annual, up 0.1% monthly, keeps the Fed on hold rather than cutting soon.
  • Cisco's 18% revenue growth and Cerebras' raised guidance both met selling — AI expectations now exceed blowout results.
  • July's deficit, worst since March 2021, pushes fiscal-year red ink near $1.8 trillion and underpins the 4.68% 10-year.
Technical
  • Breadth confirms: 88% of tracked indices above both 50- and 200-day averages while the adds 0.26%.
  • up 0.61% and Nasdaq up 0.54% beat the flat Dow — no defensive tilt in the tape.
  • Leadership is broadening beyond tech: Energy +7.16% and Health Care +6.41% over the month lead the 's 2.72%.
Sentiment
  • Fear & Greed at 62 sits in greed but not extreme, up from 47 a month ago and 60 last week.
  • at 14.55, down 11.8% on the month, shows complacency priced in — thin cushion for a growth shock.
  • Burry's short against Oracle and skepticism on chip backlogs are healthy dissent, not yet a sentiment turn.
Stance
  • Tape and breadth favor staying engaged, but a 4.68% 10-year caps multiple expansion — don't fight the Fed.
  • Sell-the-news reactions in Cisco and Cerebras argue for trimming crowded AI exposure rather than chasing strength.
  • Hormuz traffic 90% below normal keeps an energy shock tail risk live; size positions for that possibility.

The desk voices are written by AI, not by human reporters. Every figure is taken from the listed market, sensor and headline data, and an automated check flags any figure or quoted source that is not.