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Physical desk · Morning edition · Tuesday, November 3, 2026

The Rhine at Kaub has sunk to 19 cm, so barges on Europe's main waterway are carrying light loads and low water shows no sign of turning

Physical desk · auto-generated · written Nov 3, 2026, 9:35 AM EST
Rainfall percentile by regionDashed median, shaded 25th to 75th percentile0US Corn Belt 47US Gulf Coast 67Brazil Cerrado 53Argentine Pampas 40Black Sea 87West Africa cocoa 73Below normal 11 weeksBelow normal 3 weeksHeat percentile by regionDashed median, shaded 25th to 75th percentileJunJulAugSepOctUS Corn Belt 100US Gulf Coast 87Brazil Cerrado 80Argentine Pampas 0Black Sea 73West Africa cocoa 27Peak heat, 79th percentileLow 0Fire heat vs 30-day meanx its meanUS Corn Belt0.2xBrazil soybean belt0.1xCanadian oil sands0.0xPilbara iron ore0.0xAgainst normalDot today, tick normalNatural gas storage+14.0 BCFCorticorp Finance, weather percentiles, NASA FIRMS fire detections, USDA and EIA reports to Oct 28, 2026. Shaded: below normal

Argentine Pampas heat sat at the 0th percentile on October 28, against the same 30 days in earlier years. US Corn Belt at the 100th percentile was the furthest from the middle.

Drawn from the numbers stored with this edition; the same picture is on its share card.

The Rhine at Kaub is still the situation that matters most this morning, and the ground is busy rather than stretched. The river has fallen again since the last edition and stays too shallow for barges to carry full loads. Cyclone MURASU-26 near India is still the one disaster rated severe, and nothing is rated serious. Fire heat near tracked regions has jumped from the last edition, led by mining areas.

The Rhine at Kaub read 19 cm at noon, down from 22 cm at the last edition, and flow slipped to 517 m3/s from 530. That is worsening, though it comes from a single source, the German waterways agency. Shallow water means barges load light, which squeezes fuel, grain and industrial cargo moving upriver. The reading is the lowest of the run, and no turn shows in it. The Mississippi is mixed, with St. Louis at 3.7 ft, up 0.6 ft, and Thebes at 10.4 ft, down 0.3 ft.

The Rhine low looks set to persist, and the Mississippi stays low even with St. Louis ticking up. Fire heat is the new change, with the global figure up 48% and Brazil's soybean belt roughly doubling, though the Brazil fire row still reads below its own norm. The Corn Belt reads hottest in its 15-year record with rain near normal, as of 2026-10-28. Hormuz transit counts remain unconfirmed, so lane traffic is unmeasured while Qeshm Island strikes are reported.

SituationSevere

Busy: the Rhine at Kaub is very low and still falling, Cyclone MURASU-26 near India is the only severe disaster, and nothing is rated serious.

China Media Group pulls La Liga matches after Mbappé joke, apology accepted

Forest fires in ChinaNormal

China Media Group has suspended broadcasts of La Liga matches following a joke by Kylian Mbappé.

Source: France 24, BBC World

Priority incidents
  1. Rhine at Kaub: the noon level is 19 cm, down from 22 cm at the last edition, and flow is 517 m3/s, down from 530. Barges can carry only light loads. This is worsening.
  2. Tropical Cyclone MURASU-26, India: the UN disaster alert system rates it severe, the only severe one among 70 active weather disasters. The other 69 are minor and none is serious.
  3. Mississippi: St. Louis reads 3.7 ft, up 0.6 ft, while Thebes reads 10.4 ft, down 0.3 ft. Low water remains a concern for barge traffic.
Watch list
  • Fire heat jumped since the last edition: global up 48%, mining regions up 127%, Brazil's soybean belt roughly doubled.
  • India Punjab and Haryana wheat belt: fire heat is 4.4 times its 30-day norm, rated high.
  • Strait of Hormuz: ship counts are unconfirmed while US strikes on Qeshm Island are reported.
  • Black Sea near Odesa: 30-day rain is 99 mm against a 30 mm median, as of 2026-10-28.
Black Sea rainfall, 30-day total99.4 mm
Jun 17about 4 monthsOct 28

Black Sea near Odesa, 30-day rain in mm; a fall is the drying direction, and it has climbed since mid-October.

Fire activity near tracked economic regions3,870.78 FRP
Oct 15about 3 weeksNov 3

Fire heat near tracked economic regions, in FRP; a rise is the damaging direction, and today's reading is a low one.

US natural gas in underground storage3,724 BCF
Jun 12about 4 monthsOct 23

US natural gas in storage, in BCF; a fall tightens the market, and every weekly reading here is higher than the last.

Situation mapPlaced by code from stored readings, 2026-11-03
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Imagery: Esri. Land outline: Natural Earth. Fire: NASA FIRMS. Rainfall: Open-Meteo. Events: GDACS. Tags and caption are the desk's; places, positions and ratings are not.

The desk voices are written by AI, not by human reporters. Every figure is taken from the listed market, sensor and headline data, and an automated check flags any figure or quoted source that is not.