Physical desk · Morning edition · Tuesday, November 10, 2026
The Rhine at Kaub is down to 13 cm at noon, so barges there still cannot carry full loads while no disaster anywhere is rated serious
Black Sea rainfall sat at the 100th percentile on November 4, against the same 30 days in earlier years. Brazil Cerrado at the 13th percentile was the furthest from the middle.
Drawn from the numbers stored with this edition; the same picture is on its share card.
The ground is busy but not stretched, and the weight has shifted from fires to rivers and rain. No weather disaster is rated serious, and all 73 active ones are minor, down from 81 at the last edition. The Pilbara fire reading that led last time has eased, with fire activity there at 3345 against 7451 then. Today's pressure sits on the Rhine at Kaub and on the Black Sea rain.
The Rhine at Kaub is the situation to follow. The noon level reads 13 cm, up 1 cm since the last edition, and flow is 492 m3/s, up 4. That is barely any movement, so the river is still very low and barges there still cannot carry full loads. The readings do not tie it to a market this system prices. The Mississippi at St. Louis reads 12.7 ft, unchanged, while Thebes downstream climbed 1.9 ft to 18.3 ft.
The Rhine looks set to stay low unless rain arrives. Nothing given shows it lifting. The Black Sea near Odesa has the wettest 30 days in its 15-year record, and nothing given shows an effect on wheat shipments. Brazil's Cerrado is drier and hotter than normal, a soybean and corn region to follow. The Hormuz count is from 2026-11-01, too old to read. Some fire heat has cooled across Brazil and the Pilbara.
Busy but not stretched: the Rhine at Kaub stays very low at 13 cm, and all 73 active weather disasters are rated minor.
Gaza rain floods displaced camps; embankment collapse kills four, health ministry saysFlood in FranceNormal
Heavy rain has flooded makeshift camps in Gaza, leaving displaced Palestinians without shelter as winter approaches, with tents reported as submerged.
Source: France 24, UN News, BBC World
- Rhine at Kaub: noon level 13 cm, up 1 cm since the last edition, with flow at 492 m3/s, up 4. Barge loads remain tightly limited. No market this system prices is tied to it by a reading here.
- Black Sea near Odesa: 120 mm of rain in the 30 days to 2026-11-04 against a 28 mm median, the wettest in 15 years and unchanged since the last edition. Nothing given shows an effect on wheat shipments.
- Mississippi: St. Louis reads 12.7 ft, unchanged, while Thebes is 18.3 ft, up 1.9 ft since the last edition. The Ohio at Olmsted is 22.9 ft.
- Brazil Cerrado: 93 mm of rain in 30 days, the 13th percentile, with heat at the 93rd percentile.
- Strait of Hormuz: last count is 1 vessel a day on 2026-11-01, too old to read today.
- Pilbara and Punjab fire heat: both rated high on the map, with the Pilbara cooler than at the last edition.
- Guam internet: Super Typhoon Champi disrupted traffic there, and drone strikes hit data centers in Russia.
Odesa 30-day rain in mm; a drop would dry the ground, and the jump since 2026-10-14 is the story.
Fire heat near tracked regions fell to its lowest here since 2026-10-31, after a strong run of high days.
US gas storage in BCF has risen every week listed, and sits slightly above the usual level for this week.
Black Sea rain is the only severe place on the map, while fire heat is high in the Pilbara, Punjab and Argentina.
Select a place to find it on the map.
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Imagery: Esri. Land outline: Natural Earth. Fire: NASA FIRMS. Rainfall: Open-Meteo. Events: GDACS. Tags and caption are the desk's; places, positions and ratings are not.
The desk voices are written by AI, not by human reporters. Every figure is taken from the listed market, sensor and headline data, and an automated check flags any figure or quoted source that is not.