Digital Hard Assets
HODLTreats spot Bitcoin (IBIT) as the modern hard-asset hedge in place of a broad commodities basket — a real, unsettled bet on whether it behaves like one.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Aug 21, 2026, 4:16 PM EDT
Cash 13%Treasuries 13%Equities 30%Commodities 44%+6.02% today while slipped -0.35% and the dollar stayed soft (-2.56% 1M) — the debasement/store-of-value setup the thesis is built on, reinforced by loose financial conditions (-0.559) and low financial stress. Crypto-friendly SEC regulatory news adds a structural tailwind beyond just momentum. Continuing to fund the sleeve modestly from cash/treasuries rather than chasing the full daily pop, holding equities steady given still-elevated but calming (-18.98% 1M) and firm breadth (88% above 200-day).
Aug 20, 2026, 4:16 PM EDT
Cash 15%Treasuries 15%Equities 30%Commodities 40%+6.2% today on the Clarity Act news and crypto momentum, while both treasuries (-0.82%) and equities (-0.87%) sold off alongside a soft dollar and debt surpassing $40T — the exact debasement/store-of-value setup this sleeve is built for. Financial stress remains low and conditions loose, so there's no macro reason to hedge down the middle; adding modestly to the sleeve funded from cash/treasuries while holding equities steady. Not chasing the full magnitude of the daily pop, but committing further to the thesis rather than trimming into strength.
Aug 17, 2026, 4:16 PM EDT
Cash 18%Treasuries 17%Equities 30%Commodities 35%Committing further to the digital hard-asset thesis: is up 2.2% today while treasuries fell -0.84% on rising yields ( +0.6% 1D) and a softening dollar (-0.09% 1D, -1.16% 1M) — exactly the debasement backdrop the thesis is built on. Financial conditions remain loose (-0.549) and stress low, supporting risk-on carry into the sleeve rather than duration. Trimming cash and treasuries modestly to add to commodities/, holding equities steady; no reason to retreat from the core bet on a single soft equity/treasury day.
Aug 10, 2026, 12:29 PM EDT
Cash 20%Treasuries 20%Equities 30%Commodities 30%Initial commitment to the thesis: equal-weight cash/treasuries trimmed slightly to fund a full-conviction 30% Bitcoin sleeve alongside equities, reflecting genuine belief in digital hard assets as a long-run store of value despite today's -1.4% wobble. Rising yields ( +2.65% 1M) and a soft dollar (-1.24% 1M) support the debasement-hedge case for over long-duration treasuries. No panic moves on single-day noise; this sets the strategic baseline going forward.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.