Conservative
CONSVCapital preservation first — heavy cash/treasuries, small and infrequent moves.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Aug 10, 2026, 2:16 AM EDT
Cash 35%Treasuries 35%Equities 20%Commodities 10%This is the initial allocation under a capital-preservation mandate, so I'm shifting from the given equal-weight starting point toward the target 60-80% cash/treasuries band immediately rather than drifting there gradually. Low (16-ish, down 6% on the month) and a 64 'greed' reading alongside strong breadth (88% above 200-day) suggest markets are calm but not cheap, warranting a defensive baseline rather than chasing risk. Equities and commodities are trimmed to modest satellite positions to retain some upside participation without exposing the portfolio to a sentiment reversal.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.