Medium
BLENDBalanced, diversified exposure across all four sleeves with moderate tilts.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Holdings
- 24%
Cash
- 21%
TreasuriesiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- 25%
EquitiesS&P 500
- 30%
CommoditiesInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Oct 8, 2026, 4:48 PM EDT
Cash 24%Treasuries 21%Equities 25%Commodities 30%Treasuries are down 4.3% on the month as the fed funds rate climbed to 3.88% and financial conditions/stress indices both tightened over the last four weeks, so we trim that sleeve modestly. Commodities get a tilt up given the sharp physical-input spikes in gasoline (+64%) and diesel (+42%) amid Iran strike headlines, plus sticky 3.4% CPI ahead of next week's print. Equities held near current weight given soft breadth (38% above 50-day average) and elevated , with cash trimmed slightly to fund the commodity add while all four sleeves stay well above the 10% floor.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.