Dividend Blend
DIVMIXEquities sleeve via DIVBLEND, an equal-weight blend of the Growers/Maintainers/Shrinkers dividend policies — spreads exposure across all three disciplines so return doesn't depend on any single one's regime, then reasons about the overall treasuries/equities/commodities mix as usual.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Holdings
- 30%
Cash
- 20%
TreasuriesiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- 33%
EquitiesDividend Blend, an equal-weight index of NOBL, SPHD and SDOG computed here rather than a fund you can buy
DIVBLEND is not a fund on any exchange. It is an equal-weight blend of the 3 below, computed here from their own daily closes, so the sleeve sits in equal parts across them.
- ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF11%
- Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF11%
- ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs ETF — highest-yielding stock per sector, no quality screen11%
- 17%
CommoditiesInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Oct 8, 2026, 4:48 PM EDT
Cash 30%Treasuries 20%Equities 33%Commodities 17%Financial stress and conditions indices are both rising (stress +0.38, conditions +0.055 over 4w) alongside a Fed still hiking (funds rate +0.25 to 3.88%) and down 4.3% over a month — classic case against adding duration risk right now, so treasuries get trimmed modestly rather than bought. Breadth is weak (only 38% above 50dma) and Fear & Greed is in fear territory with ticking up, arguing for a bit more cash cushion. 's blended dividend exposure still gets a modest equity allocation since unemployment/credit data aren't flashing recession yet (bank credit and C&I loans still expanding), but commodities get trimmed given mixed signals (crude inventories flat-to-down, soft industrial metals like copper -11%) despite energy-cost spikes in gasoline/diesel that look temporary and geopolitically driven rather than demand-driven.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.