Minimum Variance
MINVARInverse-VARIANCE allocation across treasuries/equities/commodities — the textbook minimum-variance special case of Markowitz optimization, concentrating harder into the calmest sleeve than Risk Parity's inverse-volatility weighting does. Weights are computed by formula, not judgment — Claude explains the numbers, same as Risk Parity.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Holdings
- 10%
Cash
- 34%
TreasuriesiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- 41%
EquitiesS&P 500
- 14%
CommoditiesInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Oct 8, 2026, 4:48 PM EDT
Cash 10%Treasuries 34%Equities 41%Commodities 14%Equities carry the lowest trailing variance (0.390x10⁻⁴), barely edging out treasuries (0.468x10⁻⁴), so the minimum-variance formula concentrates the most weight there (41%) with treasuries close behind (34%). Commodities' variance (1.116x10⁻⁴) is roughly 2.4-2.9x higher than the other two sleeves, and because the inverse-variance weighting squares that volatility gap, 's allocation is cut disproportionately to just 14% rather than merely being underweighted. Cash, as a fixed zero-variance placeholder rather than a volatility-ranked sleeve, picks up the residual 10% to complete the formula's output.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.