Aggressive
AGGROGrowth-oriented, higher-conviction positioning — heavy equities/commodities, larger moves.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Holdings
- 5%
Cash
- 10%
TreasuriesiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- 55%
EquitiesS&P 500
- 30%
CommoditiesInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Oct 8, 2026, 4:48 PM EDT
Cash 5%Treasuries 10%Equities 55%Commodities 30%Starting from an overly defensive 25/25/25/25, I'm shifting to my core growth tilt. is down -4.34% over a month as fed funds rose to 3.88% and the 10y2y curve re-steepened (+0.10pp) - a historically bad setup for long duration, so treasuries get cut hard. Commodities get a meaningful bump given the energy complex spike (gasoline +64%, diesel +42% on Iran strike headlines) and still-elevated CPI (3.4% headline) keeping real-asset demand intact. Equities remain the largest sleeve despite weak breadth (38% above 50d) and fear-driven sentiment (38/100), since financial conditions/stress readings, while rising, are not yet at crisis levels and AI capex/earnings momentum (OpenAI's $50B run-rate, Samsung record profit guide) still support risk assets; cash is trimmed to bare minimum for flexibility.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.