Contrarian
CNTRAMean-reversion — adds to whatever sleeve has fallen most, trims whatever has run up most.
Tear Sheet
Performance vs. S&P 500 buy & hold
Current allocation
Allocation over time
Decision Log
Aug 17, 2026, 4:15 PM EDT
Cash 25%Treasuries 28%Equities 26%Commodities 21%1W/1M sleeve data remains flat/unreliable, but the one real signal today is 1D dispersion: commodities popped +1.87% while treasuries and equities both fell (-0.84%, -0.52%). Leaning contrarian, I trim the commodities winner modestly and add to the treasury and equity laggards, keeping the move small given the thin trailing-data signal.9%
Aug 10, 2026, 2:16 AM EDT
Cash 25%Treasuries 25%Equities 25%Commodities 25%1W/1M sleeve data is all flat at 0.00%, giving no meaningful dispersion to act on yet—there's no clear recent loser to lean into or winner to trim. Equities have the strongest 1D pop (0.62%) amid greed (64) and high breadth (88% above 200DMA), a mild overextension signal, but without real trailing data I'll hold the equal-weight baseline rather than trade on noise. Will act once genuine 1W/1M divergence emerges.
Simulated portfolio, starting cash $100,000. Not investment advice. Methodology.